Pro Football WR Hall of Fame Monitor The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. In the running (40% to 69%): WR A.J. NFL Nation: Analysis for every pick Six of the seven men ahead of him are in the Hall, with the exception of Peppers. Jones now has five consecutive seasons with at least 10 sacks. Charley Taylor. Buy Seahawks Tickets. When I last attempted something like this column in June 2016, I gave Beckham a 50% chance of making the Hall of Fame after two dominant seasons as a pro. Jalen and Reggie Wayne connected while he was in college, and his uncle has helped him every step of the way since. In recent years Seattle has gained somewhat of a reputation as being the last stop for future Hall of Fame wide receivers. No offensive lineman is ever a lock when guys like Faneca still aren't enshrined, but Smith plays the most prominent position on the line for the most popular team in the league. The site navigation utilizes arrow, enter, escape, and space bar key commands. The three have career numbers that are comparable, and Holt and Wayne had the good fortune of playing with Hall of Fame quarterbacks (Kurt Warner and Peyton Manning) while winning Super Bowls. Ten of those 12 are in the Hall -- Elliott and Adrian Peterson are the other two. 1 with seven receiving touchdowns as well as 1,407 air yards and yards after the catch combined (perAirYards.com). Lock (100%): QB Aaron Rodgers. As I mentioned with Prescott, Barkley's Offensive Rookie of the Year nod gets him in this category alone. The Cowboys are blessed with two linemen bound for Canton. While Pro Bowls and All-Pro awards are hardly gospel, they're the best measure we have of how league observers valued a particular player in his time. These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. He deserves it. His case is very strong for a first-ballot election. Of the seven players eligible for the Hall of Fame who made it to the Pro Bowl in their age-21 campaign, six are in the Hall. Tickets go on sale on Wednesday, September 1st at: www.radiohalloffame.com. Work to do (10% to 39%): TE Jimmy Graham, CB Kyle Fuller. Get started >>. The players listed below are the top 250 HOFm-rated players who played WR starting in 1955 or later for at least 50 career games. He looked to be firmly on a Hall trajectory at that point, but over the ensuing five seasons, he has just one Pro Bowl appearance. Elliott has already won two rushing titles across his first four seasons, and that might be enough on its own. Lock (100%): QB Drew Brees. With five consecutive first-team All-Pro appearances, he could retire tomorrow and get in without any questions. The second-best trade in Reid's history might have been trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009 for Peters, who has held down left tackle for 10 of the past 11 seasons in Philadelphia and will return to play guard in 2020. Center Rodney Hudson deserves more attention, but he has been stuck behind Maurkice Pouncey in the AFC and has only three Pro Bowls to show across his seven years as a starter with the Chiefs and Raiders. He doesn't need that sort of individual production to make it to the Hall of Fame, but the guys who made it in without a single first-team All-Pro appearance needed something else. While Witten, 38, is years removed from his peak, he's going to finish his career with 11 Pro Bowl appearances and two first-team All-Pro nods. Wagner also has a Super Bowl victory and, quite famously, an MVP vote from Tony Dungy on his rsum. Warren Moon played until he was 44. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Russell Wilson, LB Bobby Wagner. As a result, I'll mention them often, especially when looking at players who don't touch the ball frequently. Cox has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, although only one of those seasons resulted in a first-team All-Pro nod. He is a three-time Defensive Player of the Year, joining Lawrence Taylor as the only three-time winners of the award. He might not make it on the first ballot, but he should make it eventually. QB Anthony Richardson rejects 'project label' entering combine, Texans terminate center Justin Britt's contract, Bun B, Badu, J.J. Watt celebrate RodeoHouston Southern Takeover. Work to do (10% to 39%): LB Tremaine Edmunds. What makes Evans production especially impressive is that he entered the league at such a young age. McCardell and Smith dubbed "Thunder . Tony Kornheiser and Michael Wilbon both expect Frank Gore to get into the Pro Football Hall of Fame, but do not see him as a lock to get into Canton. Theyre easily first-ballot selections. To use an example, I don't think Eli Manning has the rsum of a Hall of Fame quarterback, but history tells us that most quarterbacks who win two Super Bowls typically get in. Julio Jones (2011-17): 8,076, two-time All-Pro, will be a Hall-of-Famer Jerry Rice (1985-89): 7,370, Hall-of-Famer, greatest receiver of all time Randy Moss (1998-2003): 7,258, Hall-of-Famer Torry Holt (1999-2004): 7,147, most yards through five years in NFL history The superstar edge rusher has made the Pro Bowl every year except 2013, when he was suspended before going down with a torn ACL. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Deshaun Watson. I've split players into four groups. Kiper's draft grades for every team The Hall of Fame receiver responded with a $100 million defamation lawsuit. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, G David DeCastro, DE Cameron Heyward, S Minkah Fitzpatrick. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Terron Armstead, OT Ryan Ramczyk. As good as third-year receiver Chris Godwin has been for the Bucs this season, its hard to say that hes anything more than the Anquan Boldin to Evans Fitz. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Lamar Jackson, CB Marcus Peters, K Justin Tucker. While guys like Franco Harris and Champ Bailey managed to make it to the Hall with similar starts to their careers, standouts like Chris Hinton, Ricky Watters and Donovan McNabb have come up short without getting to that next level. 1. Players with two Pro Bowls and one first-team All-Pro spot across their first three seasons who are eligible for the Hall have made it just over 48% of the time. If you think this is too early for the 2019 seventh overall pick, think again. He also came up with an interception while winning his first Super Bowl, which helps his case. 2 with 6,103 yards. Only Chandler Jones and Aaron Donald have more sacks since the start of 2017. 7 overall in the 2014 draft at the age of 20. Charley Taylor<br>1964-1975, 1977 . I polled my Twitter followers and found that 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer. Mahomes' rsum -- a league MVP and Super Bowl MVP -- is usually enough to get a player into the Hall of Fame, let alone doing it over two seasons as a starter. He led that sports section to three Associated Press Sports Editors top-10 national awards and his work has been honored by APSE and the Texas Associated Press Managing Editors. On Tuesday, future NFL Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald spoke with the team. Roethlisberger won two Super Bowls with the Steelers and spent 18 seasons as Pittsburghs starter. What will the Buffalo Bills do without defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier? . Interior OL | Edge Through Week 9 of the 2019 season, Evans has played 85 career games. All rights reserved. It's an extremely small sample, and Collins is another example of a player who had an early All-Pro appearance before taking a step backward, but Adams projects as a superstar. The Defensive Player of the Year candidate was named a first-team All-Pro in 2015 and 2019, but he hasn't received any other nominations across his other five pro seasons. David has been supremely underrated during his career, but after earning a first-team All-Pro nod in 2013, he has made it to a lone Pro Bowl over the ensuing six seasons. You can't make the Hall of Fame while you're still in pads, but Mike Evans has been making his case over the past six seasons. I'll do a little bit of projecting here and there, given historical aging curves and what we know about each player's injury history, but this is almost entirely about what each player has done so far. The guy who hasn't played a single NFL snap? All HOFm Positions: QBRBWRTEGTCDTDEILBOLBDBKP, Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2:32PM. Texans great Andre Johnson fell short of election to the Hall of Fame again this year in his second time as a modern-era finalist. Lock (100%): DE J.J. Watt. His peak is Hall of Fame-worthy -- he has two of the three best seasons in fantasy football history by a tight end -- but it lasted only four seasons. Here's everything we know, Richardson sets QB mark for vertical, broad jump, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. He ranks seventh all-time in receiving touchdowns (116), 30th in yards (11,841) and 17th in receptions (955). Future Hall of Fame Wide Receiver Gushes Over Giants' Kadarius Toney 123 Shares By Vinny Somma Updated Apr 30, 2021 at 1:11pm Getty Kadarius Toney #1 of the Florida Gators reacts after. He also has worked at the Austin American-Statesman and Temple Daily Telegram. ln the running (40% to 69%): RB Alvin Kamara, DE Cameron Jordan, CB Marshon Lattimore. Returning to form and earning a seventh Pro Bowl nod in his first season with the Ravens got Thomas back on track. One more nomination should get Smith in. Scouting reports | More draft coverage. I think the PED suspensions could help keep out players like Edelman and Lane Johnson, but it's tough to imagine Peterson not making it. Locks have a 100% chance of making it. Some players draw more attention after getting traded or signing a big extension, and Buckner did both this offseason. The induction process, like so many things, is on hold. I think his five-year peak with the Seahawks probably would have been enough to get him in, but earning a sixth Pro Bowl trip with the 49ers last season only helped his chances. There are another 11 players who aren't yet Hall-eligible, and five of them are locks to do the same. Since the merger, 11 offensive linemen have been named a first-team All-Pro in four consecutive seasons, and nine of them are in the Hall of Fame. Whether Johnson will be there to welcome Watt into the Hall of Fame will be interesting. He rarely gets the public attention he deserves, but the Pro Bowl voters haven't ignored the interior disruptor, who has earned eight Pro Bowl nods and a pair of first-team All-Pro votes. At the same time, Green has missed 23 games over the past two years with injuries. A big individual season and a few MVP votes in 2020 would be enough to push him into the next category. Watson is one of the best quarterbacks in football, although he might struggle to earn first-team All-Pro nods when stuck in the same time frame as Mahomes. Browns star left tackle Joe Thomas and Jets greats Joe . Gronkowski dominated at his position, played a key role on four Super Bowl winners, was on the all-2010s team and a first time All-Pro on four occasions. There could still be a season in which Mike Zimmer needs to use Barr as an edge rusher and he ends up with 10 sacks, but that's not going to be enough. Ngakoue has deserved more attention and might get it in a new locale if the Jaguars honor his request and trade the 25-year-old before the season begins. The left tackle has seven Pro Bowls and two All-Pro nods before turning 30. Brown was arguably the NFLs best receiver from 2013-18 in Pittsburgh, but wasnt the same player after he left the Steelers. Aaron Rodgers has had a lack of weapons on the Green Bay Packers Since 1970, 55 players who are eligible for Canton have hit that 8+2 mark, and 52 of them earned enshrinement. We still have no idea how Thomas will perform, but if we look back through history, four of the 32 offensive linemen since 1970 who were drafted with a top-five pick have made it to the Hall of Fame. Sherman has a strong case as the best cornerback of the decade and was an essential piece of what was likely the best defense of the decade. The former Ozen High star and 14-year NBA vet has more on his mind than basketball, offering essays on life, his family and America. Lattimore has two Pro Bowl appearances in his first three seasons; if you throw out early-career players like Lattimore, Jalen Ramsey and Marcus Peters, eight of the 11 corners to pull that off since the merger are either in the Hall of Fame or going there. He has been one of the five best players at the second-most lucrative position in football over the past five years, and the fact that he was traded for two first-round picks and then delivered a wildly successful season with all of that attention in 2018 helps him. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Keenan Allen, G Trai Turner, DE Melvin Ingram III, CB Chris Harris Jr. Turner has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but interior linemen typically need multiple first-team All-Pro nods to draw significant Hall interest. Find out more. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Baker Mayfield, DE Myles Garrett. In his other two seasons, he racked up a combined 23 sacks and made a pair of Pro Bowls. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Andrew Thomas. After that, we have players who are Likely to get in, who I estimate have between a 70% and 99% chance of earning induction. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Melvin Gordon, DE Jurrell Casey. He was excellent in his third season, but since then, his production has roughly been in line with that of Robby Anderson. Only Campbell is in the Hall of Fame. Rent the Hall. Edelman's case rests entirely on playoff and Super Bowl production. Harold Carmichael finished his career with 590 receptions and 79 touchdowns. Randy Moss. Wentz's injury history this early in his career also doesn't bode well for his chances of playing deep into his 30s.
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